Math 210
Laboratory 18
Chi-Square Tests: Heart disease, Baldness, and
Marbles
On January 24, 2000 the Holland Sentinel reported on a study that
found
the greater the hair loss on top of a man's head, the greater the risk
for heart disease. This study, co-authored by Dr. JoAnn Manson
from
Harvard's Brigham and Women's Hospital in Boston, analyzed baldness
patterns
of 22,000 male doctors who were 40 to 84 years old when enrolled in the
Physician's Health Study. Eleven years into the study, the
researcher
asked the doctors to describe their patterns of baldness at age 45.
- In another study researchers selected a sample of 663 heart
disease
patients
(male) and a control group of 772 males not suffering from heart
disease.
Each was asked to classify their degree of baldness on a 5-point scale.
The results are given in the following table. Use these data to
answer
the following questions.
|
Baldness:
|
None
|
Little
|
Some
|
Much
|
Extreme
|
|
Heart disease
|
251
|
165
|
195
|
50
|
2
|
|
Control
|
331
|
221
|
185
|
34
|
1
|
- Of those in the control group, what percent claimed to have:
- Little or no baldness?
- Some, much or extreme baldness?
- Of those with heart disease, what percent claimed to have:
- Little or no baldness?
- Some, much or extreme baldness?
- At this stage in the investigation, state whether you think
there is a
relationship between heart disease and baldness. Explain your answer.
- We are now going to run a test of significance on this.
- State the null and alternative hypotheses you would use to
test whether
there is a relationship between heart disease and baldness.
- Complete a chi-square test to determine if there is a
relationship
between
heart disease and baldness. (Type the data into Minitab - you
don't
need any of the column or row headings, just the data. Use Stat
> Tables > Chi-square Test.) Make sure you give
the chi-square
statistic, the P-value, and a conclusion.
- Briefly discuss whether your results necessarily mean that
heart
disease
is caused by baldness or baldness is caused by heart disease.
- Another type of chi-square test is a goodness-of-fit test.
Instead
of testing a two-way table for independence, this test can determine
whether
or not a sample is drawn from a specific sort of distribution.
For
example, you can use a chi-square goodness-of-fit test to determine
whether
or not the colors of peanut m&m's are distributed evenly. We
will do an example similar to this, except we will use marbles.
Go
to the Random
Marble Grabber and grab 100 marbles. This
applet
will give you a chi-square statistic
based
on the null hypothesis that the 10 colors are distributed evenly.
(You can find the P-value on Minitab by selecting Calc
> Probability Distributions > Chi-Square. In the
window
that pops up click on Cumulative
Probability, leave 0.0 as the Noncentrality
parameter,
put in 9 for your Degrees of freedom,
click on Input constant, input
your chi-square statistic from the
applet,
and click OK.) The value
that Minitab gives you is one minus the P-value. Write up
the results from your test by including the hypotheses, the chi-square
statistic, the P-value, and a conclusion.